MNF Betting Preview: Cardinals at Cowboys

NFL

Monday, November 3, 2025 – 8:15 PM ET

AT&T Stadium

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

Monday night in Arlington features two teams heading in different directions, both with a lot at stake. Dallas sits at 3-4-1, still in the NFC mix but searching for consistency after an uneven month. Arizona, 2-5, turns to veteran Jacoby Brissett for his first full start of the year after Kyler Murray’s foot injury, in a game that could potentially turn their season around.

Both teams have shown flashes, but Dallas brings the steadier identity. The Cowboys rank near the top of the league in total offense and red-zone scoring. At the same time, Arizona continues to battle inefficiency and protection issues. It sets up a matchup where stability meets volatility — and the favorite’s rhythm looks more trustworthy under primetime lights.

Matchup Breakdown:

Dallas is expected to maintain control of the game's tempo through the efficiency and balance of key players. Dak Prescott’s impressive 70-percent completion rate and 16-5 touchdown-to-interception line reflect his excellent management of the offense. Running back Javonte Williams, with his nine scores, and Jake Ferguson’s growth in the red zone, provide Dallas with additional steady options. The Cowboys have been averaging nearly 30 points over their last three weeks and rank in the top five in scoring-drive percentage.

For Arizona, sustaining drives will be the challenge. Brissett has taken sacks on roughly nine percent of dropbacks, and the Cardinals convert only 44 percent of third downs. Their defense plays hard but tends to fade late, allowing opponents to score on 41 percent of possessions. If Dallas maintains its field-position edge and forces Brissett into long downs, its pass rush should dictate the game's flow.

Betting Angles:

Dallas enters as a three-point favorite with a total of 53.5, a fair reflection of both teams’ recent form. The quarterback change limits Arizona’s offensive ceiling, while Dallas’ balance and red-zone consistency create a more dependable profile. Projections rate the Cowboys closer to a 4.5-point favorite, giving value to –2.5 at –140. Dallas wins this matchup roughly 68 percent of the time and covers the adjusted number in a majority of projected outcomes.

Red-zone efficiency also tends to favor the home side. Dallas converts 64 percent of trips into touchdowns versus Arizona’s 56 percent. Dallas supports a per-drive scoring rate of 50 percent, which comfortably outpaces the Cardinals’ 40 percent. Playing at home, where Dallas averages close to 30 points per game, only strengthens that edge.

Conclusion:

Both teams have grappled with inconsistency, but Dallas’s offensive rhythm and situational strength are likely to be the deciding factors. Arizona’s change in quarterback and defensive fatigue issues make it challenging to maintain momentum against one of the NFC’s most efficient scoring units. Expect Dallas to assert control over possession, protect Prescott, and gradually pull ahead as the game unfolds.

Pick:

🎯 Dallas -2.5 (–140)