SNF Betting Preview: Rodgers vs. the Past

NFL

Sunday, October 26, 2025 – 8:20 PM ET

Acrisure Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Sunday night in Pittsburgh marks a significant moment in the season, as Aaron Rodgers faces his former franchise for the first time. The Packers, led by Jordan Love, have quietly built one of the league’s most efficient offenses, adding to the intrigue. Both squads, above .500 and trending upward, are set for a tight, well-coached contest under the lights, creating a sense of excitement and anticipation.

With both offenses showing rhythm and balance, we reviewed each side’s team total before narrowing down the card. Green Bay’s projection fell right in line with its number. However, Pittsburgh stood out—carrying the consistency and scoring efficiency to clear the market mark once again, adding to the unpredictability and suspense of the game.

Matchup Breakdown:

The Packers have thrived on control and tempo. Love has completed nearly seventy percent of his passes with ten touchdowns to just two interceptions, spreading the ball between Tucker Kraft and Romeo Doubs. At the same time, Josh Jacobs anchors the red-zone attack. Their offensive line remains steady, limiting pressure and helping maintain one of the league’s best third-down conversion rates.

Pittsburgh counters with a strong structure and resilience. Rodgers has guided the Steelers to four wins in six outings, leaning on D.K. Metcalf’s vertical presence and a deep tight-end rotation that creates matchup issues. They don’t always win the yardage battle, but they make possessions count—ranking near the top of the NFL in red-zone touchdown rate and starting field position, showcasing their strength and determination.

Defensively, the Steelers’ front remains their heartbeat. T.J. Watt and Nick Herbig headline a pass rush that can wreck timing, while the secondary—led by Jalen Ramsey—tightens dramatically inside the 20. Green Bay’s balance should still move the ball, but finishing drives in hostile territory is a different challenge.

Betting Angles:

Both offenses are capable of breaking 20 points. Still, Pittsburgh’s efficiency and short-field strength tilt the edge toward the home side. Rodgers’ command of situational football, paired with a top-five red-zone conversion rate, gives this number life throughout all four quarters. Even modest regression in yardage still projects them comfortably above the low-20s range.

Green Bay’s offense remains sharp, but its projection sat right near the current number. With both defenses trading field position, it becomes less about who wins the game and more about which team finishes drives. On this spot, Pittsburgh continues to grade stronger.

At current odds, the Steelers’ team total provides a cleaner, more isolated angle to back sustained efficiency rather than guessing on turnovers or late-game variance. This means that betting on the Steelers' team total is a more straightforward and reliable way to bet on their offensive performance, rather than relying on unpredictable factors like turnovers or late-game situations.

Conclusion:

Expect a game defined by sustained drives and situational execution rather than fireworks. The Packers’ efficiency ensures they’ll score. Still, Pittsburgh’s structure—plus its advantage in field position and red-zone finishing—makes its team total the cleaner angle. The Steelers’ ability to consistently gain good field position and convert in the red zone gives them a significant advantage in this game.

Pick:

🎯 Steelers TT over 20.5 (–135)