SNF Betting Preview: Commanders vs Seahawks

NFL

Sunday, November 2, 2025 – 8:20 PM ET

Northwest Stadium

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

Sunday night in Washington sets the stage for a compelling NFC clash. The Seattle Seahawks, currently 5–2, bring to the field a well-rounded offense and a robust defense, both instrumental in their recent successes.

The Washington Commanders are grappling with a midseason slump, having lost four of their last five games. While quarterback Jayden Daniels shows promise for the Commanders, the team's struggle with inconsistency and turnovers has been a stumbling block for their offense.

Seattle, on the other hand, has quietly but effectively achieved balance under Sam Darnold’s efficient resurgence. The Seahawks’ passing game, bolstered by the impressive rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba, has evolved into one of the most reliable units in the league. With both teams vying for a favorable playoff position, the outcome of this match could hinge on execution and composure rather than flashy plays.

Matchup Breakdown:

Sam Darnold’s efficiency has been the story of Seattle’s season. Through seven games, he’s completed 67.9% of his passes for 1,711 yards and 12 touchdowns, ranking among the most accurate and productive starters in the NFC. His 9.0 yards per attempt and 106.0 passer rating reflect strong command of the system and improved decision-making.

The connection between Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba has elevated the offense, with the rookie receiver posting 819 yards and 4 touchdowns on 16.4 yards per catch. Tight end AJ Barner has become a key red-zone target with four touchdowns of his own. At the same time, the backfield duo of Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet has combined for eight rushing scores.

Defensively, Seattle’s front seven has been a force to be reckoned with. The group has allowed just 4.7 yards per play and 3.3 yards per rush while amassing an impressive 23 sacks in seven games. Linebackers Uchenna Nwosu and Byron Murphy lead a unit that thrives on pressure and gap discipline — a potential headache for a Washington offensive line that’s already allowed over 20 sacks and ranks near the bottom of the league in pass protection.

Washington’s offense flashes explosiveness but remains inconsistent. Jayden Daniels has accounted for 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception, but averages 206 passing yards per game and has taken 13 sacks in five starts. The Commanders sit near the bottom of the league on third down (33.3%) and remain turnover-prone, ranking 30th in giveaways. Those issues have erased strong red-zone efficiency and limited sustained drives.

Betting Angles:

Sam Darnold’s passing prop of 240.5 yards shows a 59% probability to the Over — equivalent to fair odds around –144, well above the listed –115. His ability to exploit soft zones and intermediate routes should carry over against a Washington defense allowing 8.3 net yards per pass attempt and 11 passing touchdowns through eight games.

Seattle’s spread of –2.5 also profiles favorably, with a 59% chance of covering. When the Seahawks protect Darnold and win the turnover battle, they’ve covered every game this season, making this a high-probability bet.

Conclusion:

Seattle’s rhythm and efficiency give them the edge in this matchup. The Seahawks’ offensive balance and defensive structure should force Washington into long-yardage situations, where Daniels’ protection issues tend to resurface. Expect Darnold and company to control pace and field position, pulling away late in a measured, professional road performance that showcases their determination.

Pick:

🎯Sam Darnold Over 240.5 Passing Yards (–115)

Play to 244.5 (–120)

🔁 Alternate: Seattle Seahawks –2.5 (–125)