Tuesday UEFA Champions League: FK Bodø/Glimt vs AS Monaco

UEFA Champions League

Tuesday, November 03, 2025 – 3:00 PM ET

Aspmyra Stadion

FK Bodø/Glimt vs AS Monaco

North meets South in a stylistic clash that promises intrigue and tempo. Bodø/Glimt, with their relentless pace at Aspmyra, have established themselves as one of Europe’s most formidable home sides. Their dominance at home, coupled with Monaco's attacking flair and defensive uncertainty, sets the stage for a thrilling match. For the Norwegian champions, this is another opportunity to showcase their brand of vertical, fearless football against a continental giant. For the visitors, it’s a test of control and poise against a side that rarely allows opponents to breathe.

Matchup Breakdown:

Bodø/Glimt’s numbers at home remain elite: over 2.5 goals in 70 percent of fixtures, and a 67 percent win rate built on aggressive early pressure. They often score first—six of their last ten matches have opened in their favor—thanks to wave-style attacks from deep and consistent second-ball recovery. Manager Kjetil Knutsen continues to emphasize tempo and verticality, with wingers and full-backs pushing into half-spaces to create overloads early.

AS Monaco, now under the leadership of Sébastien Pocognoli following Adi Hütter’s October departure, is still finding its footing. Their away record, averaging fewer than 1.5 goals per game and conceding nearly two, exposes their vulnerability. Injuries to key players further weaken their transitional play, forcing reliance on Folarin Balogun and Jens Petter Hauge to stretch play. Monaco’s challenge will be to weather the storm of Bodø/Glimt's early pressure before their midfield regains control.

Betting Angles:

The market slightly undervalues Bodø/Glimt’s tendency to start fast. The bet “First Team to Score – Bodø/Glimt (–130)” implies roughly a 56 percent chance. However, projection data and season trends push that figure closer to 60 percent, creating a mild edge. With Bodø’s home xG for (2.69) versus Monaco’s away xG against (2.01), early pressure is more likely to yield the opener than the price suggests.

Rather than chasing a volatile total or full-time side, this prop isolates the period where Bodø’s dominance is most repeatable—the first-goal window. With a healthy front line and Monaco adjusting to a new manager, the Norwegians hold the more straightforward path to strike first.

Conclusion:

Expect an open, transitional contest where both sides trade chances. Still, the early moments should favor Bodø/Glimt’s rhythm and energy in front of their home supporters. Even if Monaco grows into the match later, the first-goal market captures Bodø’s most reliable advantage without overexposure to second-half variance.

Pick:

🎯 Bodø/Glimt – First Team to Score (–130)